Shortly before visiting New Orleans for the first time in April, I had the luck of coming across an hour long program regarding these very issues on NPR. Among other things covered, commentators mentioned how a hurricane that came in just the right direction across the Gulf would obliterate New Orleans. I cannot express my shock in seeing the reality of this prediction occur just a few months later.
What Katrina exemplifies is the natural decay and distaster that encloses each human life and sometimes will intersect a life in sudden, terrible bursts. Human life, despite our best intentions and thoughtful preparations, is completely at the mercy of nature since we ourselves are just tiny parts of the greater ecosystem of life on this planet. In Brain & Belief, I argue that the awareness of this fact, an awareness of the contingent nature of existence, lies behind a great deal of human effort and is perhaps the most important source of religion. Religion is the last refuge of meaning and control after all other actions have failed. I can assure you that many a conversation is being had, right now, by those victims in the Gulf about God and 'why this happened.' Some are expressing their thanks for being saved, many others are mumbling angrily 'why me?' and 'why here?' The true answer is that there is no why and there is no personality or intention behind this event. God is not punishing or testing us in such disasters. The periodicity of disaster is unpredictable but certain in its occurrence from time to time. If it happens to you, it is your bad luck, if it happens to me, it is mine. And, at some point in the future, the bad luck will belong to everyone when the expected meteor or planetary detritus comes swooping our way from across the galaxy and slams into the planet or when the poles shift or when the right kind of bacteria decides to proliferate using our bodies as its preferred host. Our time is limited both personally and collectively and the predictions of whys and whens becomes an exercise in futility.
The point of this is not naysaying or nihilistic but a description of the 'way things are.' The presence of this mighty hurricane and its consequences is just a timely example for addressing the point. Our job now is to accept the reality of such distasters, present and future, and do our best to move on in spite of them. As Epictetus and the other Stoics discovered long ago, our control does not extend to encompass all that much when you get right down to it. What we can control is our reaction to events. We can choose to move on with fortitude. We can recognize that anger is not appropriate. We can recognize that certain reactions are appropriate, others inappropriate. This is what we're doing as a nation, this is our only choice as human beings. Neither prayer nor ecological domination will prevent disasters but the proper mindset will assist us in living in a world of contingency.
Following is a complete chapter from Brain & Belief on this topic.
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Chapter 17—Contingency: The Sting of Death
Our language and our culture are as much a contingency, as much a result of thousands of small mutations finding niches (and millions of others finding no niches), as are the orchids and the anthropoids.
—Richard Rorty, Contingency, Irony, & Solidarity[i]
Death is sometimes acceptable in the very aged as it finally switches off a dimming lamp. It is more difficult when it swoops down upon a life bright with energy, in the midst of its projects, to snuff out its fire. In these losses, death reveals to us the central horror of life—contingency.
The conclusion of all postmodern thought, contingency teaches that nothing is ‘supposed’ to be. A marked tendency of thinking, well-represented in ancient philosophy, is the notion that everything aims towards an end. This notion goes by the name of teleology. If you think teleologically then you assume that nature strives for completion and the supremely meaningful integration of all things. One has only to read the Catholic priest, Teilhard de Chardin, to recognize the intensity with which even the scientifically literate may grasp for the lost hope of teleology. Contingency opposes this humanizing doctrine and remains the most challenging philosophic issue in our time and in times to come. No grand plan works itself out in the cosmos, neither human nor human-like intentions pull strings behind the veil of our ignorance.
Contingency means ‘purposeless’ or ‘random;’ it contrasts with ‘by design’ or ‘Providence.’ Whether a particular species of owl dies out, whether a supernova flashes, or whether democracy becomes the standard government of all peoples—no ‘greater power’ and no ‘higher authority’ intends anything of the sort. The things to which we attach our sacred meanings have no necessity. The real pang of this philosophy comes from this: no matter who you are—be you rich or poor, green-eyed or brown-eyed, famous or unknown—no matter the individual merits of your character, you may die today, you may die in the very next moment. Nothing precludes your imminent death. Considering this, one may conclude that all human effort and all culture emerged as methods of contingency avoidance, of “terror management.”[ii] The science of medicine, for instance, consistently expands its boundaries to wrest more and more control from disease and disintegration. As medicine improves, the sheer ‘luck’ (another synonym for contingency) of one’s genetics and the random threats from one’s environment become less and less controlling over life. So also do governments and police forces attempt to wrap people together and provide them a meaningful structure of protection and opportunity. Criminals are chained, wars avoided, and overall civic safety improved. Governments protect people from contingencies in other ways as well. In a more ruthless time, depending on the luck of your birth, you might enter the world absolutely destitute with no chance of opportunity. Alternately, you might be born into tremendous power and for no good reason lord it over thousands of lives. Democracy and socialistic economics try to minimize the inconsistencies of birth so that justice and equality become more universal. Nature, however, uses no such logic. One person is born strong and intelligent, another weak and mentally disabled; one into a family of cuddling and laughter, another into a family of abuse and neglect. As humans extend our knowledge and power, we desperately wash over the most blatant of these contingencies. But no matter how ingenious our methods or expansive our knowledge, we will always—at the end of days—pass into oblivion.
Contingency has been most aggressively tackled by religion. Using an imaginative framework, religious doctrines take the contingent and wholly deny it, claiming everything inhuman to be part of God’s mystery. Religion is the sanctification of teleology, the assertion that all things exist by Providence. And against that champion of contingency, death? For the religious, death is no end, but a transition; justice not blind, but karmically harmonized over the eons (beyond the sight of our mortal eyes, that is). Much as religions have worked to annul the rights of contingency, they have, at last, failed. Nothing could prevent us from maturing, even if slowly. And all know from the experience of adolescence that maturation often comes in spurts, and painful ones at that.
Like a powerful medicine, contingency goes down bitterly. People find this concept so difficult because all of our thinking is founded on its opposite: we live through principles of meaningful order, reason-driven changes, and carefully planned, fully ‘mapped-out’ sets of actions. Of course, all such organization refers to human-directed activities—the manner in which we communicate to one another, structure our social groups, and comprehend our natural environment. When we look into a mindless puddle of contingent facts—like a pile of spaghetti strands that have landed atop one another—we instinctively begin to draw the strands apart in an attempt to discover their underlying pattern (provided we’re not driven by the more pressing instinct of hunger at the moment). Why did they fall just so? What does it mean? In like fashion, priests and oracles have utilized the guts of animals, the leaves of plants, and the pattern of fallen sticks to foresee the future. Using such tricks the inherent destiny of life could be prematurely glimpsed. The idea of an uncertain future, one that pays no mind to particular individuals or nations, has never been an acceptable philosophy.
Before all mysteries large and small we experience the peculiarly human rapture of wonder. The more terrible the vastness, the more aroused our organizing intellect becomes. Our brain, like other erogenous parts of our body, engorges itself with blood before a naked mystery. We sense an impossible puzzle but still the whisper teases: “seek and ye shall find.” The same teasing whisper drives all the great endeavors of humanity—the ceaseless quest for knowledge, the breakneck pursuit of meaning in love and relationships, and the expression of bittersweet finitude in art. Humans live, eat, and breathe meaning. The notion of ‘meaninglessness’ cannot be fathomed except as some shadowy opposition to our core sense of meaning. We vaguely begin to understand contingency when we create a vacuum by avoiding meaningful things and activities; this unnatural state is a difficult one to keep up, though, so strong is our organizing instinct, so ubiquitous our shared webs of meaning.
Human thought strives for pattern. Even when we perceive patternless phenomena—a patch of clouds in the sky or the noise of static on the radio—we begin to tease out images, seeing faces in the clouds, and we structure the randomness, hearing whispered sentences in the radio static. Contingency, then, defines a totally foreign, ‘inhuman’ concept. A random or meaningless act proceeds without ‘mind.’ Given that we experience everything through mind, even the passions of the so-called ‘heart,’ the idea of something being meaningless opposes our every intuition. Our brain-mediated organs of perception, far from recording the environment with objective fidelity, only perceive those things for which the brain is primed and ‘accepts.’ Thus does physiology give birth to the divide in our mentality that we label the conscious and the unconscious. In contrast to the meaning-constrained methods that we employ, the methods of nature proceed heartlessly from the grinding probabilities of random variation. In proposing evolution as the mechanism by which all things creaturely and substantial have come into being, Darwin deified the random.
Many claim that the sense of contingency has grown, and continues to grow, as mythology recedes and objective, scientific thought fastens itself upon our perceptions of the world. Something about the scientific worldview amplifies the perception of contingency. Perhaps, in attributing to cold processes what had previously been explained in terms of a human-like God, we see our natural surroundings with more clarity—in all their inhuman glory.
One of the first individuals of the modern era to recognize contingency was the philosopher Blaise Pascal (1623-1662). A child prodigy, Pascal attracted fame for his mathematical and scientific insight. Among other things, he discovered and explained the principles of the vacuum. For much of his short life he struggled to reconcile the sheer logic of math with the Christian religion. When he was 32, Pascal underwent a mystical experience that forever settled this debate for him. He fell back onto his traditional religious upbringing with abandon. But his precocious brain continued to entertain dark thoughts. The contemplation of what seemed to him a godless, inhuman universe made him cringe. The clash between the all-meaningful religious construct and the essentially meaningless scientific one aided him in discovering the vacuum of meaning, contingency: “Why is my knowledge limited? Why my stature? Why my life to one hundred years rather than to a thousand? What reason has nature had for giving me such, and for choosing this number rather than another…”[iii] Pascal had stumbled onto a horrifying series of insights that taught him that all the little accidents of life, those to which we generally attribute no significance, also lie at the heart of personal existence. An orderless series of accidents confirms us in one body, and one identity, rather than another. Just as Pascal was born preternaturally intelligent, he might as easily have been born with Down’s Syndrome or deaf—and for no particular reason. Of course, any such alteration, originating in the tiniest accident as his chromosomes tumbled into place in the womb of his mother, would forever have changed the nature and type of life he led and we’d have no reason to discuss his life and thoughts. So does science threaten our comfort, our ‘at-homeness’ in the universe, teaching that even as we perceive a lack of meaning in nature, so would nature overlook our own significance. We are, in a most horrifying insight, utterly replaceable—our individual existences as ephemeral and unnecessary as a flea’s. In a darker moment, Pascal—otherwise a very religious man—wrote: “…at the end a little earth is thrown upon our head, and that is the end forever.”[iv]
With Pascal began modernity’s biting awareness of contingency. But the felt reality of contingency was not Pascal’s doing. Contingency is a vacuum that exists around all things human when a notion of God, or divine order, gets expunged.
The consummate philosopher of contingency, who would redefine man within this vacuum of meaning, is Friedrich Nietzsche. In describing the ‘death of God’ in The Gay Science, Nietzsche makes an allegory out of the ascendancy of science:
The madman jumped into their midst and pierced them with his eyes. “Whither is God?” he cried; “I will tell you. We have killed him—you and I. All of us are his murderers. But how did we do this? How could we drink up the sea? Who gave us the sponge to wipe away the entire horizon? What were we doing when we unchained this Earth from its sun? Whither is it moving now? Whither are we moving? Away from all suns? Are we not plunging continually? Backward, sideward, forward, in all directions? Is there still any up or down? Are we not straying as through an infinite nothing? Do we not feel night continually closing in on us? Do we not need to light lanterns in the morning? Do we hear nothing as yet of the noise of the gravediggers who are burying God. Do we smell nothing as yet of the divine decomposition? Gods, too, decompose. God is dead. God remains dead. And we have killed him.[v]
As Nietzsche poetically describes, ‘after God’ one feels disoriented. When the traditional constructs of meaning dissolve, one loses all bearings: “Backward, sideward, forward, in all directions?” Contingency, the lack of felt necessity, of rule, of order, is the true sting of death. Just as the contingency of the world creates horror in the face of death, so is death the archangel of contingency. Death, the scraping dread of life’s certain end, does more than anything to show us that the grand vision and patterns of life are fleeting and inessential.
In his autobiography, Speak Memory, the twentieth century writer Vladimir Nabokov reflects the spirit of the time and perceives contingency all about him. He begins: “The cradle rocks above an abyss, and common sense tells us that our existence is but a brief crack of light between two eternities of darkness.”[vi] For Nabokov, as for every feeling person, contingency insults the meaningful:
I rebel against this state of affairs. I feel the urge to take my rebellion outside and picket nature. Over and over again my mind has made colossal efforts to distinguish the faintest of personal glimmers in the impersonal darkness on both sides of my life.[vii]
Here Nabokov identifies birth to be as much of an assault on meaning as death. Birth—the miraculous act of appearing out of nothing and growing into self-consciousness—makes as strong an argument for life’s contingency as annihilation. How can a soul honestly believe that he is born on some summer day, August 21, at some particular location, Tulsa, Oklahoma, at a precise time, 4:43pm, but will never die? If, as the immortality ideologies assure us, the individual soul exists as the very essence of God and shall, upon death, proceed to some higher plane wherein it shall live forever, then a birthday is a magnificent thing indeed! Every birthday, in this context, is the birthday—the birth of an immortal being, the one and only birth of an undying spirit who shall outlive every star and eclipse the mortal universe. In this context, all the accidents of personality and character—the lagging self-esteem from the club foot, the bitter resentment of poverty and neglect—become deified. As the essence of the personality these idiosyncrasies shall never die. We must be careful to note, as absurd a doctrine as this appears, so does the real one, the mortal human round. Again, Nabokov expresses as much with poignancy:
Whenever I start thinking of my love for a person, I am in the habit of immediately drawing radii from my love—from my heart, from the tender nucleus of a personal matter—to monstrously remote points of the universe. Something impels me to measure the consciousness of my love against such unimaginable and incalculable things as the behavior of nebulae (whose very remoteness seems a form of insanity), the dreadful pitfalls of eternity, the unknowledgeable beyond the unknown, the helplessness, the cold, the sickening involutions and interpenetrations of space and time. … When that slow-motion, silent explosion of love takes place in me, unfolding its melting fringes and overwhelming me with the sense of something much vaster, much more enduring and powerful than the accumulation of matter or energy in any imaginable cosmos, then my mind cannot but pinch itself to see if it is really awake. … I have to have all space and all time participate in my emotion, in my mortal love, so that the edge of its mortality is taken off, thus helping me to fight the utter degradation, ridicule, and horror of having developed an infinity of sensation and thought within a finite existence.[viii]
Developing “an infinity of sensation and thought within a finite existence,” the sentient human cannot fail to perceive the strangeness of his position. In appreciating all things sophisticated and subtle, man mocks the accidents of his foundation. By conceiving something as lofty as human love and compassion, mankind seems an island amid a sea without edge. In respect to this, the existential philosophers discussed the absurdity of human existence. However, by pointing out its absurdity, these thinkers, like Jean-Paul Sartre, sound ever more absurd: “Every existing thing is born without reason, prolongs itself out of weakness and dies by chance.”[ix]
Why absurd? Existentialism’s preoccupation with absurdity—the modern gloom that rise like bruises after a bout with contingency—simply mismeasures the human condition. Just as one wouldn’t, as Descartes illustrated, try to measure the substance of mind (read brain properties) using rulers or scales, so one shouldn’t perceive the meaning of a human life against a background of cosmic immensity. Unfortunately, we have made such poor measuring practices a habit, thanks to our acceptance of immortality ideologies. Were the octopus to consider his world using the framework of an opossum’s life, it would seem absurd. Were a pygmy to judge his culture using a Swede’s perspective, it would seem absurd. And if a mortal human animal imagines his life against that of an immortal sky god, then it naturally seems absurd and meaningless. The modern perception of contingency and its dismal reflection on meaninglessness are just the growing pains a child experiences as he develops into his adult frame and leaves the comforts of the crib.
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[i] Richard Rorty, Contingency, Irony, and Solidarity (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1989), p. 16.
[ii] Greenberg, J., Pyszczynski, T., & Solomon, S. (1986). The causes and consequeneces of a need for self-esteem: A terror management theory. In R.F. Baumeister (ed.), Public self and private self (pp. 189-212). New York: Springer-Verlag.
[iii] Blaise Pascal, Pensées (New York: E.P. Dutton & Co., 1958), p. 61. <208>
[iv] Pascal, p. 61. <210>
[v] Friedrich Nietzsche, The Gay Science, trans. Walter Kaufmann (New York: Vintage, 1974), p. 181. <125>
[vi] Vladimir Nabokov, Speak Memory (New York: Vintage Books, 1989), p. 19.
[vii] Nabokov, p. 20.
[viii] Nabokov, p. 296-297.
[ix] Jean-Paul Sartre, Nausea, trans. Lloyd Alexander (New York: New Directions Publishing, 1964), p. 133.

